Its strongest expression is the enduring popularity of the barely reconstructed Communists the Party of Democratic Socialism
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Its strongest expression is the enduring popularity of the barely reconstructed Communists, the Party of Democratic Socialism. Across the Former East Germany, the PDS gets about a third of the votes.One would expect that in consumerism, at least, the supremacy of the Free World would be assured Yet brand loyalties of old linger. East Germany's most visible symbol of affluence - whose value, according to the old joke, could be doubled by filling it with petrol - is making a comeback. From next year, Ossis will be able to trade in their second- hand Golfs for the Son of Trabant, to be built by the factory which used to produce the infamous paper carsWhere the fad will end, no one can tell. But meanwhile, those lacking the resources needed to wallow in old world charm must make do with the show at the brewery. Due to overwhelming demand, the exhibition has been extended by a month. Entrance to the museum is free - just like in the good old days..
Never bet against the stock market is a City adage which few dedicated followers of shares are prepared to challenge. It often displays an uncanny knack of predicting a company's fortunes. Of course, when it is caught on the hop by an unexpectedly good - or bad - set of figures there is a predictably violent share price reaction. But when shares move ahead of figures there is a strong chance the market has sensed what is in store and has merely made the necessary adjustments over a few weeks or even months. The Reuters share price has been signalling disappointment since October when the news information group produced reasonably encouraging quarterly figures Then the shares were riding at around their 806p peak. Since then they have had an uncomfortable time, On Friday they closed at 642.5p, a 12-month low.So not many City professionals expect much excitement when Reuters produces last year's figures tomorrow.The City probably feels it is in a remarkably perceptive position to read Reuters.
After all, it is a big user of the group's terminals, with many firms relying heavily on its news coverage, sophisticated data and dealing facilities.Much easier, surely, to detect what is going on at one of its main suppliers than, say, an engineering works at Gateshead.Dealers have, therefore, managed to read their own Reuters message - and that, quite clearly, is indicating competition is intensifying and demand slowing. Foreign exchange dealing, representing a big slice of Reuters' revenue, has declined sharply; the urge to merge in the financial sector is dramatically eroding the number of terminals its customers require.There is also the question of competition. The takeover of ICV by Primark of the US is the latest example of information providers ganging together to make life more difficult for the renowned news agency. And there is the arrival of young start-up groups prepared to undercut the old master.
The pound's power is another profit distraction.No wonder stories circulate that Reuters needs new tricks. Its perceived vulnerability has helped fuel rumours it wants to descend on Dow Jones, the US information group.Stories from New York suggest some Dow Jones shareholders are getting restless because of its less than sparkling share price performance. One fund manager, with a reputation for making things happen, has built a 5 per cent stake and is noisily agitating for some sort of action.Reuters, it seems, will not make a hostile strike. It could, however, face a tough task getting the agreement of the Dow Jones management and shareholders loyal to the board. There is a sneaking suspicion Reuters' profits will look quite impressive.
Say around pounds 690m, for a gain of pounds 91m on the previous year. But the gnawing fear is that the accompanying statement will be exceedingly cautious and the market, despite its record run, is not prepared to take prisoners. Even after their fall from grace, the shares, which have been richly rewarding in recent years, are still highly rated and there have been many examples of the market's lack of patience with fallen glamour shares.It is widely believed Reuters' cash mountain has prevented an even sharper decline. The group withdrew proposals to hand back pounds 613m to shareholders in September when it abandoned innovative plans for a special dividend. It now has an embarrassment of riches - more than pounds 1bn - which should point to a bumper dividend payment, perhaps in the form of a special dividend.The banking profits season is launched on Friday by Lloyds TSB. Financial shares, with banks to the fore, have led this year's blue chip charge which has sent Footsie to new peaks.Takeovers, real and rumoured, and the knowledge that much of the financial sector is performing well have helped fuel the euphoria.